Google, internet companies, SCOR, search
In Investing on April 18, 2008 at 5:04 pm
Google (GOOG) came out today with phenomenal returns and their stock surged 18% from pre-opening trading. The thinking was that online ad spending budgets would be cut based on financial services dependency.
Additionally, most people thought Google would guide down based on Comscore (SCOR) data that had convinced people that Q1 click data was disastrous. Comscore had tipped paid-click growth declining to 2%. In reality, U.S. paid clicks fell to 9%.
Seeking Alpha writer Paul Kedrosky had the opportunity to speak to a Comscore analyst who asked for leniency, after all it was “directionally correct”. Paul goes on to note, “directionally correct” is a joke, like getting busted for speeding in a school zone, and saying you might be over the limit, but at you had slowed down and were “directionally correct”.
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accounting, GE, Jack Welch, Jeff Immelt
In Investing on April 17, 2008 at 5:17 pm
Matt Stichnoth gave some solid advice today in his article, “GE: Immelt Gets Welched.” (Great title by the way). He notes that quarterly earnings micromanagement does not create shareholder value over the long term–and instead leads to what he calls, “doom (Enron), disaster (Worldcom), and even jail (Tyco).”
He goes on to note that Jeff Immelt has simply been busy cleaning up a series of improper accounting practices and asks that Jack Welch should perhaps stop giving earnings guidance or stay off CNBC appearances….
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Consumer Trend, CROX, KKD, Product, trend, Trends
In Investing on April 17, 2008 at 4:54 pm

I distinctly remember the article in CNNMoney.com which profiled the meteoric rise of Crocs (CROX) from a small shoe company — crediting an innovative distribution model and Hollywood celebrity endorsements. Yet, what is trendy yesterday is crap today. They are down from an October 2007 high of 75.21 to Wednesday’s current low of 9.70.
Seeking Alpha gives two other “hot brand” stocks that rallied tremendously only to peak and never recover. Below are examples such as Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (KKD) and Hot Topic (HOTT).
Their lesson at the end of the day is there are huge profits to be gained on the upside of a super-hot consumer product or trend but be ready to exit if the trend starts to get ugly.
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Blockbuster, Carl Ichan, Circuit City
In Investing on April 14, 2008 at 5:14 pm
Blockbuster (BBI) announced that it was making an unsolicited $6 to $8/share ($1-$1.35B) bid for Circuit City. Nick Bubb, a Retail Analyst at the stockbrokers Pali International notes:
“The combination of the two companies would result in an $18 billion global retail enterprise uniquely positioned to capitalize on the growing convergence of media content and electronic devices.”
The bold deal would be larger than Blockbuster’s totaly market value, which at the time of closing on Friday, was valued at $630 million. Many industry analysts also suspect billionaire corporate raider, Carl Icahn’s hand in this. He owns ~8% of the company and assisted in the ousting of former Blockerbuster CEO John Antioco who stepped down last year.
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